Search results for "multilevel Monte Carlo"

showing 2 items of 2 documents

Unbiased Estimators and Multilevel Monte Carlo

2018

Multilevel Monte Carlo (MLMC) and unbiased estimators recently proposed by McLeish (Monte Carlo Methods Appl., 2011) and Rhee and Glynn (Oper. Res., 2015) are closely related. This connection is elaborated by presenting a new general class of unbiased estimators, which admits previous debiasing schemes as special cases. New lower variance estimators are proposed, which are stratified versions of earlier unbiased schemes. Under general conditions, essentially when MLMC admits the canonical square root Monte Carlo error rate, the proposed new schemes are shown to be asymptotically as efficient as MLMC, both in terms of variance and cost. The experiments demonstrate that the variance reduction…

FOS: Computer and information sciencesMonte Carlo methodWord error rate010103 numerical & computational mathematicsstochastic differential equationManagement Science and Operations ResearchStatistics - Computation01 natural sciences010104 statistics & probabilityStochastic differential equationstratificationSquare rootFOS: MathematicsApplied mathematics0101 mathematicsComputation (stat.CO)stokastiset prosessitMathematicsProbability (math.PR)ta111EstimatorVariance (accounting)unbiased estimatorsComputer Science ApplicationsMonte Carlo -menetelmät65C05 (Primary) 65C30 (Secondary)efficiencykerrostuneisuusVariance reductionunbiasemultilevel Monte CarlodifferentiaaliyhtälötMathematics - ProbabilityOperations Research
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Unbiased Inference for Discretely Observed Hidden Markov Model Diffusions

2021

We develop a Bayesian inference method for diffusions observed discretely and with noise, which is free of discretisation bias. Unlike existing unbiased inference methods, our method does not rely on exact simulation techniques. Instead, our method uses standard time-discretised approximations of diffusions, such as the Euler--Maruyama scheme. Our approach is based on particle marginal Metropolis--Hastings, a particle filter, randomised multilevel Monte Carlo, and importance sampling type correction of approximate Markov chain Monte Carlo. The resulting estimator leads to inference without a bias from the time-discretisation as the number of Markov chain iterations increases. We give conver…

FOS: Computer and information sciencesStatistics and ProbabilityDiscretizationComputer scienceMarkovin ketjutInference010103 numerical & computational mathematicssequential Monte CarloBayesian inferenceStatistics - Computation01 natural sciencesMethodology (stat.ME)010104 statistics & probabilitysymbols.namesakediffuusio (fysikaaliset ilmiöt)FOS: MathematicsDiscrete Mathematics and Combinatorics0101 mathematicsHidden Markov modelComputation (stat.CO)Statistics - Methodologymatematiikkabayesilainen menetelmäApplied MathematicsProbability (math.PR)diffusionmatemaattiset menetelmätMarkov chain Monte CarloMarkov chain Monte CarloMonte Carlo -menetelmätNoiseimportance sampling65C05 (primary) 60H35 65C35 65C40 (secondary)Modeling and Simulationsymbolsmatemaattiset mallitStatistics Probability and Uncertaintymultilevel Monte CarloParticle filterAlgorithmMathematics - ProbabilityImportance samplingSIAM/ASA Journal on Uncertainty Quantification
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